Notes From the Desk- North American Employment Data – Central Bank Conundrum   Today’s employment data does not make steering monetary policy any easier for the Federal Reserve (Fed) or Bank of Canada (BoC).  The US economy continues to produce plenty of jobs without upward wage pressure, while Canada produced no jobs, but wages continue […]

Notes From The Desk – FOMC Meeting – Sticking To The Plan   Today’s FOMC meeting was more about what did not change.  Given the stronger-than-expected inflation data this year, the market feared that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would dial back the number of rate hikes to expect this year.  Despite modest changes to forecasts […]

Notes From the Desk:  Canadian Inflation – The Trend Is Your Friend February’s CPI data surprised to the downside, opening the door wider for the Bank of Canada (Boc) to cut rates later this year. The Numbers. YoY CPI: 2.8% (3.1% expected) YoY CPI Trim: 3.2% (3.4% expected) YoY CPI Median: 3.1% (3.3% expected)   […]

Notes From the Desk:  North American Employment Data – The Moderation Continues   North American employment data points to continued improvement in the supply-demand imbalance. By The Numbers.   Canada 7k jobs created (20k expected) – the mix was good with 70.6k full-time jobs and a loss of 29.9k part-time jobs Unemployment rate meets consensus […]

Notes from the Desk – Bank of Canada Meeting – Much Ado About Nothing The Bank of Canada (BoC) held rates steady at 5% this morning.  Although Governor Macklem reiterated that he believes rates are high enough, and that the real question is how long the BoC sits on its hands before cutting. The Press […]