Mar 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk – North American Labour Markets Remain Strong. Once again, more people than expected found work on both sides of the border. Canada: • Employment increased by 21.8k vs 10k expected. The mix was strong with 31.1k full-time jobs created and...Mar 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk: SVB Impact on Rate Markets It’s been a wild Monday morning, with US and CAD 2y rates dropping 0.50%. Since Thursday we have seen the US 2y decline ~1% and the CAD 2y fall ~0.75%. What’s Going On? The fear of the SVB failure is that of...Mar 14, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk – US Inflation Chairman Powell is certainly earning his $190k salary, dealing with a battle on two fronts. Just a few days ago, the market was 100% certain that the Federal Reserve (Fed) was hiking next week with the debate being whether it...Mar 8, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk: Bank of Canada Meeting – Steady As She Goes As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) remained on pause and kept the overnight rate at 4.50%. Noteworthy: The BoC sees signs that higher rates are slowing growth. While CPI is still too high,...Feb 3, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk – US Payrolls – Holy Crap! By the numbers. Today’s US payrolls blew the doors off. The economy produced 517k jobs last month, more than double the 185k forecast. The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% vs. forecasts of a small rise to 3.6%....Jan 30, 2023 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk – Bank of Canada: This is the End. To quote the Doors, ‘this is the end, beautiful friend…the end.’ At least for now. After delivering a 25 bps hike and bringing the overnight rate to 4.5%, the Bank of Canada (BoC) expects to hold here as it...
