Notes From The Desk | FOMC Announcement Nov 17 2021

Canadian Inflation · Headline CPI came in as expected at 4.7%, while core inflation was 1.8% (a touch below the expectation of 1.9%) · With the Bank of Canada forecast of 4.8% for Q4, today’s numbers should do little to ease concerns over inflation nor should it stoke...

Notes From The Desk | FOMC Announcement Nov 03 2021

Today’s FOMC was a relatively straightforward, as-expected affair. · The tapering of QE begins this month with a reduction of $15 bn per month ($10 bn in treasuries, $5 bn in mortgages) · At this pace, QE will be done in mid-June, which sets the stage for rate hikes...

Notes From The Desk | FOMC Announcement Oct 27 2021

A quick note from our trading desk on today’s Bank of Canada meeting and press conference. · The BoC has officially ended QE and moved into the reinvestment phase, where they will simply reinvest maturing bonds. They expect to be in this reinvestment phase until...

Notes From The Desk | FOMC Announcement July 28 2021

The Federal Reserve really knows how to thread the needle, having dropped hints about tapering without freaking-out the markets. The As Expecteds. · No change to the overnight rate · Still hold that the recent bout of high inflation is transitory · Quantitative easing...