Sep 22, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a 75bps rate hike, bringing policy rates into the 3.0-3.25% band. The Fed’s median forecasts for overnight rates: End of 2022 – 4.4% End of 2023 – 4.6% End of 2024 – 3.9% End of 2025 – 2.9% During the press...Sep 20, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
Notes From The Desk: Canadian Inflation – A Glimmer of Hope Canadian inflation slowed in August, with headline CPI coming in at 7% (7.3% expected) as lower gasoline prices offset rising food costs. The closely watched average of the three core measures also...Sep 13, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
Notes from the Desk – US CPI – Still Too Hot Today’s CPI number disappointed those looking for signs that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could ease off the brakes. Annual inflation came in at 8.3% (8.1% expected) as increases in food prices offset the drop in...Sep 9, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
Notes From the Desk – Canadian Jobs – Strike 3? Today’s 40k decline in jobs makes it three declines in a row. The unemployment rate moved up from 4.9% to 5.4% Seasonal adjustments added to the confusion with a nearly 50k decline in education workers. A...Sep 7, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
The Bank of Canada (BoC) hiked 75bps this morning, bringing the overnight rate to 3.25% The BoC squashed any hope that they were finished by making it clear that ‘policy interest rates will need to rise further.’ Implications: Little reaction in yields as the bond...Sep 6, 2022 | Notes from the Desk
Today’s US employment data shows that unsustainable growth is moderating: 315k jobs created (318k expected) Unemployment rate moves up 2 ticks to 3.7% (labour force rose by 800k as more people have decided to look for work) Monthly wage growth is a touch softer...
