Extrapolate This! | November 2020

“Extrapolating from the statistical growth of the legal profession, by the year 2035 every single person in the United States will be a lawyer, including newborn infants.” Michael Crichton – State of Fear One of the favourite tools of forecasters and...

Strange Times Are These| October 2020

“Your path you must decide.” Yoda According to legendary investor Sir John Templeton, the four most costly words in the annals of investing are “this time is different” (1933). The lesson being that economic cycles and history often repeat, or at least rhyme. But...

Vote Early, Vote Often | September 2020

“No one party can fool all of the people all of the time; that’s why we have two parties.” Bob Hope In the run-up to elections, markets tend to move up and down depending on which candidate is leading the polls.  History would suggest that for the most part,...

Mind The Gap | August 2020

“As long as poverty, injustice and gross inequality persist in our world, none of us can truly rest.” Nelson Mandela This pandemic is a ‘pain in the you-know-what.’  It has disrupted our lives with all sorts of new protocols and practices, and taken some pre-existing...

The New ‘New Normal’ | July 2020

“My new normal is to continually get used to new normals.” Anonymous The natural progression in economics is for an ‘unprecedented’ crisis to be followed by a ‘new normal’.  The old modes and models are discarded and replaced with ones that reflect the new post-crisis...

Unprecedented All Over Again | June 2020

“If history repeats itself, and the unexpected always happens, how incapable must Man be of learning from experience” George Bernard Shaw We begin our commentary in the most unimaginative way possible, with a simple dictionary definition. unprecedented adjective never...