Has The Sky Stopped Falling? | April 2022

“The sky is falling.  No, I’m tipping over backwards.” Steven Wright At several points over the past 18 months, we were accused of being ‘Chicken Little’ with our warnings of rising yields.  People looked at us funny when we said the central banks had a clear path to raise overnight rates to 1.5-2%.  Our sanity […]

Another Brick In The Wall | March 2022

“I had a horrible nightmare. I dreamed that I went…back in time. It was terrible.” Marty McFly Over the past two years, investors have dealt with a constant string of ‘new normals.’  At every turn, there are new changes, new uncertainties, and new unknowns to contend with.  While some of these developments are transitory (or […]

Walk The Talk | February 2022

“Saying is a different thing from doing.” Michel de Montaigne First and foremost, our thoughts and sympathies are with the people of Ukraine and their families and friends across the world.  We hope for a quick and peaceful resolution to this horrifying situation. Our parents taught us that actions speak louder than words.  That ultimately, […]

A Central Bank Bedtime Story | January 2022

“The job of the Central Bank is to worry.” Alice Rivlin We imagine that central bankers have endured many sleepless nights since the start of the pandemic.  After all, even in the best of times, stewarding monetary policy to optimize growth, inflation, and employment is a difficult balancing act.  Having to navigate the unchartered waters […]

New Year. New You. | December 2021

“I’m not making any New Year’s resolutions. They just go in one year and out the other.” Jane Ace New Year’s resolutions.  Every year we make ‘em.  Every year we break ‘em.  At least that’s how it goes for most of us, with an estimated 80% of resolutions going unfulfilled. Every January the diets begin, […]