The Immaculate Disinflation | January 2024

“It’s a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.” Winston Churchill We have long maintained that inflation is a complex and mysterious beast.  With so many moving parts, it is nearly impossible to model and predict. A task made even more difficult these past few years, with new dynamics emerging from the pandemic, extreme […]

Year Of The Bond: The Sequel | December 2023

“Great success breeds a lot of things, including sequels.” Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson This time last year, 2023 was being touted as the ‘Year of the Bond’.  Elevated yields offered investors attractive income and the prognosticators were forecasting rate cuts to start in the summer. Being good students of Yogi Berra, we understand that ‘it’s […]

‘Tis The Season | November 2023

“We make a living by what we get, but we make a life by what we give.” Winston Churchill In the spirit of the holiday season, we decided to forego the usual musings that we begin our commentaries with, to highlight a cause that is near and dear to us. Over the past few years, […]

That Time Was Different | October 2023

“The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different’.” Sir John Templeton It is an exciting time to be a bond nerd.  After a few of the most volatile years we have ever seen, it now appears that we are in the midst of a paradigm shift in our world. This shift […]

Waiting For Godot | September 2023

“If I had known who Godot is, I would have written it in the script.” Samuel Beckett Samuel Beckett’s famous ‘tragicomedy in two acts’ is often described as a play in which nothing happens, twice.  The two protagonists, Vladimir and Estragon (Didi and Gogo), spend the entirety of the play (as the title would suggest) […]