The Law of Averages

‘The man who drowns in a river with an average depth of six inches is still dead.’ Proverb In a world where data is gold, one of the most used and cited statistics is the average or mean. As a datum, it aggregates information into a single number or value. And...

Go Jays Go

‘Canada is a country whose main exports are hockey players and cold fronts. Our main imports are baseball players and acid rain.’ Pierre Trudeau At the start of Trump 2.0, Canadians were on edge and outraged. The ‘51st State’ rhetoric and threats to our economy...

The Powell Pivot

‘When the facts change, I change my mind – what do you do, sir?.’ John Maynard Keynes Seven years ago, we penned a commentary titled, ‘Don’t Fight the Fed’ (November 2018).  It was during President Trump’s first term in office, back when his preferred...

A Whiff of Stagflation

‘If you don’t like the news, go out and make some of your own.’ Wes Nisker After the ‘liberation day’ tariffs were unveiled, there was no shortage of doomsday prophecies.  The assumption was that the proposed levies would raise prices, lower profits, and...

The Science of Not Knowing

‘If you want a guarantee, buy a toaster.’ Clint Eastwood Last month, we noted that while the future is always unpredictable, Trump’s erratic policies and policy shifts have increased the level of uncertainty. The President encapsulated the situation a day before...

The Uncertainty of Uncertainty

‘There are known knowns…there are known unknowns… But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don’t know we don’t know.’ Donald Rumsfield There is uncertainty, and there is uncertainty.  As while the future is always unpredictable, a distinction can be made...