The BoC Rate Cute – Certainly Uncertain

Amid ‘pervasive uncertainty’, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the overnight rate 25 bps to 2.75%, taking us to the midpoint of their estimated range for the neutral rate (2.25% – 3.25%). The Decision.  Recent economic data (i.e., Q4 GDP 2.6%) would have suggested a...

Fast & Furious XI: Tariff Wars | February 2025

‘I live my life a quarter mile at a time.’ Dominic Toretto It seems the Trump administration has taken a page out of one of Hollywood’s most successful franchises, The Fast & The Furious.  The policy blitz since inauguration has been as frantic and dizzying as the...

Canadian & US Employment Data – No Big Deal

Investors and traders are likely relieved that today’s employment data didn’t add to the market confusion. The Numbers. Canada 1.1k jobs created (20k expected) Unemployment rate 6.6% (6.7% expected) YoY hourly wage growth 4% (3.7% expected) US 151k jobs created (160k...

FOMC Rate Announcement

Nobody was surprised that the FOMC held rates steady this afternoon.  Inflation remains elevated, while the labour market remains strong, leaving the FOMC to remain on the sidelines. The Press Conference. There were questions about the impact of the wide array of...